Private equity: AI deals

AI deals hero image

Executive summary

AI-related deal activity in North America reached new highs between 2021 and 2025, with volume accelerating sharply from 2023 onwards. The share of AI deals nearly doubled in the past two years, confirming AI as a major focus for investors and companies alike.

Deal volume reached 589 transactions in 2025, up from 375 in 2024, a 57% year-on-year increase. Between 2021 and 2025, AI deal volume totaled 1,634 transactions. The software sector accounted for 1,183 (72%) of the total, reinforcing its clear dominance.

Momentum is also building within professional services, financial technology, industrial goods and IT services. Within software, business intelligence and process automation remain the largest subindustries, reflecting demand for data-driven tools that boost efficiency. Healthcare analytics, HR and workforce support systems and marketing software are also growing, showing AI’s broader use in both business operations and customer engagement. AI has moved well beyond a niche innovation.

AI deals represent an increasing proportion of all deals

AI-related* deal activity has grown steadily over the past five years, even as the broader deal environment fluctuated. (Figure 1).

North american ai related deals as a percentage of all deals 2021-2025

In 2021 and 2022, AI represented a relatively small portion of total deals (2%), with limited growth. After 2023, the proportion of AI deals began to climb. By 2025, AI accounted for more than 7% of all deal activity.

Software Industry Driving AI Investment

AI investment is heavily concentrated in a few key industries, with software leading by a wide margin (Figure 2). In North America, between 2021 and 2025, the software sector accounted for 72% of the total AI-related deals.

Top five industries in north america by number of ai deals 2021-2025

Two recent transactions illustrate the range of activity within the software space.

  • MEquilibrium was a $10 million – $49 million acquisition by Bow River Capital, a private equity investor. This was structured as an add-on buyout, and was selected to strengthen an existing portfolio.
  • Paradox Inc. was acquired by Workday Inc. with a deal value between $2 billion – $5 billion.

Both point to acquirers seeking software companies with clear strategic value and software solutions that support long-term strategic fit. In both cases, buyers appear to prioritize software solutions that support long-term strategic goals. The sector’s dominance reflects the central role AI now plays in software development, automation, and data analytics.

The dominance of AI in software deals indicates the growing adoption of AI-driven tools to enhance efficiency and client delivery.

Across a few key industries, the appetite to build AI capability has been steadily increasing. In the software sector, the share of AI-related transactions has grown sharply, from about 7% in 2021 to nearly 30% in 2025 (Figure 3). This reflects AI’s move from an optional addon to a standard feature across software companies.

AI related deal volume by sub-industry 2021-2025
The growing activity in professional services, fintech, industrial goods, and IT services shows that AI is moving beyond early adopters. The financial technology and data sector has seen consistent growth in AI deal activity, with AI deals now representing almost 15% of the total. Industrial goods and IT Services, while smaller in total deal counts, also show strong upward movement towards embedding AI as part of their business. Even as overall deal volumes fluctuate, the rising share of AI transactions reflects growing long-term confidence in AI as a key driver of innovation and business evolution across industries. Clearly all Ailed deals won’t intrinsically mean a competitive advantage. However, the investment and appetite to participate in the AI race is clear. Beyond AI deal volume, there has been a shift in deal size distribution over time (Figure 4). In 2021, deal activity was strong and more evenly spread across different value ranges. Although deals below $50 million represent over two-thirds of the total, among all deals above $50 million, 20% of deal values were over $500 million. In 2022, the majority of these large deals (86%) were in the $50 million – $249 million range. Despite fewer deals completed in 2025, we saw some very large deals (8% over $2 billion in value). Fewer transactions have been completed in recent years compared to the 2021 peak as borrowing has become more expensive.
AI deals activity by value range 2021-2025
Within software, business intelligence and process automation has seen the most deal activity in four of the five years between 2021 and 2025, with deals in this sub-industry in 2025 exceeding the total of the top 5 subindustries within software each year from 2021 until 2024 (Figure 5).
AI deals within software by sub-industry 2021-2025

Demand for AI Infrastructure is strong but deals activity muted

As companies race to train larger models and deploy AI at scale, investment is being made into the physical infrastructure that enables growth, highlighting how the foundations of AI are becoming just as important as the applications themselves (Figure 6).

AI related infrastructure deal activity 2023-2025

The growth in 2025 was muted due to ongoing trade tensions and rising tariffs shaking confidence and disrupting supply chains. Many of these sub-industries are directly affected by tariffs, creating uncertainty despite strong underlying demand. Despite these challenges, activity in AI-related infrastructure was above 2023 levels. This challenge could be further compounded in 2026 due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

The rise in AI-related infrastructure deals shows market recognition of the importance data centers, power supplies, and hardware and other adjacent fields required to support the expansion.

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